“Probable impossibilities are to be preferred to improbable possibilities.”
- 384 BC – 322 BC
- Originating from Macedonia in ancient Greece
- Philosopher and scientist, founder of the Lyceum academy
- A student of Plato, he constructed systematic knowledge in logic, biology, politics, ethics, etc., and had a major impact on the development of Western thought and science
Quote
“Probable impossibilities are to be preferred to improbable possibilities.”
Explanation
In this quote, Aristotle suggests that it is often more rational to place trust in things that are likely impossible, yet still grounded in reason, than in things that are possible but highly unlikely. By “probable impossibilities,” Aristotle refers to situations or outcomes that, while appearing impossible, are still based on logical reasoning or strong evidence, and thus can be considered more credible. On the other hand, “improbable possibilities” are events or situations that could technically happen but are based on speculation or rare chance, and are therefore less reliable or plausible. Aristotle’s argument stresses that we should prioritize what is likely, even if it seems improbable, over what is possible but extremely unlikely.
This concept has relevance in modern decision-making and risk assessment, where we often have to choose between outcomes based on their likelihood rather than their mere possibility. For example, in scientific research, a theory that may seem impossible at first but is grounded in solid data is generally preferred over a far-fetched hypothesis with no substantial evidence, even if it’s technically possible. Similarly, in personal decisions or business strategies, opting for solutions that are probable and backed by reasoning is often a more reliable choice than chasing opportunities based on unlikely outcomes.
Aristotle’s quote teaches us to focus on practicality and reason when making judgments, guiding us to assess what is more likely to happen based on available information, rather than pursuing ventures based on unlikely possibilities that have little support in reality.
